Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ETH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 2861.003433 3094.681594 3331.649895 3589.625402 3862.231105 4141.407496 4448.598046
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 2466.917723 2812.539047 3176.400780 3586.787645 4035.524680 4510.064141 5048.582105
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 2256.278503 2673.953891 3125.818058 3648.472746 4233.769648 4866.477857 5599.553069
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 2044.187441 2506.463387 3018.584983 3623.868783 4315.477527 5076.898608 5974.264269
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 1931.102227 2437.336447 3009.493049 3697.992728 4497.795175 5391.488485 6459.249922
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 1806.648968 2343.671995 2962.164112 3718.953448 4611.539133 5622.454945 6845.256858
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 1689.259301 2249.346743 2905.984709 3722.082658 4698.230385 5817.532853 7186.690714
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 1528.677330 2092.555057 2766.120559 3616.940954 4649.427866 5848.340427 7331.588358
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 1494.350163 2088.969365 2809.360412 3730.423164 4860.172473 6184.223789 7835.885648
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 1444.469703 2062.087715 2820.928410 3802.813239 5019.837926 6459.063882 8268.796793
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 1365.308119 1993.109513 2776.011783 3801.801773 5087.168498 6621.411788 8566.522838
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 1279.880842 1911.428876 2710.952986 3771.781316 5115.550639 6734.324465 8803.238071
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 1225.911507 1870.058540 2696.981304 3806.900757 5226.813153 6951.607162 9172.095518
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 1159.582456 1808.878782 2654.688831 3803.666142 5288.608502 7107.857610 9467.370903
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 1125.144534 1789.385293 2665.598303 3868.108293 5435.700639 7370.044183 9894.444239
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 1058.716526 1721.984608 2609.715272 3842.405689 5465.212244 7484.040361 10137.189756
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 1035.086310 1713.702816 2632.407276 3919.833725 5627.659044 7765.616394 10590.450078
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 993.142777 1677.011744 2614.589027 3941.725676 5716.922878 7954.401841 10927.944977
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 947.413450 1632.596812 2584.195123 3944.993793 5780.558182 8110.000875 11223.791796
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 867.048298 1533.104000 2473.342956 3835.168168 5691.364086 8066.966534 11265.206311
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 864.839619 1551.015229 2528.332830 3953.704391 5907.473741 8419.318023 11813.913010
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 849.337163 1547.748953 2552.510851 4029.297753 6066.246971 8698.226035 12270.213357
2025-05-04 00:00:00+00:00 811.378841 1508.047491 2522.720578 4028.241637 6120.667435 8840.817601 12551.291042